10 August 2018 In the wake of the turmoil in Turkey, markets are considering which Emerging Market currencies potentially could be vulnerable if a broader EM contagion develops. A couple of my favourite Charts may provide some clues. What has provoked the dramatic run on the Turkish lira? Chart 1 illustrates the Turkish currency was [...]
4 April 2018 Enjoy the podcast in which I review how well our 2018 strategic themes are playing out, and take a look athe the rest of the year. Inflation, populism, and protectionism were the key Q1 market drivers, even as the US tax reform boosted American corporate earnings significantly. Personnel changes at the White [...]
18 May 2017 From alleged involvement in US and European elections and military campaigns in the Middle East, Russia is rarely far from the headlines. The recent apparent agreement between Saudi Arabia and Russia to extend previously agreed oil production cuts until the end of 2017 not only may improve sentiment in energy markets, but [...]