Global Fiscal Policy: Keep the Pedal to the Metal

16 March 2021 In the past week, the Biden Adminstration passed its historic American Rescue Plan (ARP) and UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak unveiled his budgetary program for the coming years. The message from both is clear, the immediate priority is to provide Covid-related relief to household and businesses. Concerns about rising public sector debt would [...]

Will Inflation End the Party?

28 February 2021 There's a whiff of inflation in the air: commodities are soaring, bond yields are rising, and yield curves are steepening. And, while these trends actually began last Summer (and despite Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's reassuring comments in Congress), equity market volatility is increasing. In the period ahead, financial markets will confront several [...]

Europe: Will Second Wave Derail Recovery?

12 October 2020After Europe's devastasting Coronavirus outbreak in early 2020, painful measures succeeded in suppressing the spread of Covid-19 during the summer. As health experts warned, however, social lockdown is only akin to hitting the pause button; buying time to allow more sustainable mitigation to be put in place. Unfortunately, as lockdown measures were eased [...]

Covid Strategy: Mind the Gap!

10 May 2020 Every day one hears the grim news regarding the global economic outlook. Nevertheless, financial markets continue to rebound relentlessly. What's up? The markets are working through various phases in coming to grips with the Covid-19 emergency. In the first phase, investors panicked as the Coronavirus spread world-wide, lockdowns were intensified, and fears [...]