Japanification: Has Europe Been Infected?

2 May 2019 The sharp decline in equity markets during Q4 2018, reflected the likelihood that global economic activity would decelerate in 2019. Some commentators went even further, coining a new phrase, and posing the question of whether a "Japanification" of the global economy was taking place. That is, even a decade after the Global [...]

India: Long Growth Runway Still Lies Ahead

6 March 2019 Following the BJP's dramatic 2014 electoral victory, Prime Minister Narendra Modi enjoyed a mandate to implement economic reform. From the beginning, however,  the program faced criticism. On the one hand, Hindu nationalist believe the changes do not go far enough in promoting their interests, whereas non-Hindus charge the  benefits have not been [...]

Europe: Slipping Towards Recession?

25 November 2018 The European economy surged between mid-2016 and the end of last year -- expanding at an impressive 3% annual clip during this interval. This year has been quite a different story, as growth has consistently disappointed: indeed, GDP advanced a meagre 0.8% (annual rate) during the third quarter of 2018. There are [...]

Germany: It’s Time to Act Boldly!

22 July 2018 President Trump has taken aim at Europe. In reality, however, most of his ire has been directed at Germany. The President objects to America's $66bn bilateral trade deficit (the fourth largest amongst US trading partners), as well as Germany's failure to meet its NATO spending commitment.  During his recent European trip, he [...]