Brazil: Lula II — Firebrand or Pragmatist?

2 November 2022 Indeed, Brazil's election result was historic. Not only was former President Lula da Silva returned to power (by an unexpectedly narrow margin), but Jair Bolsonaro's defeat was the first by an incumbent since the country returned to democracy. Despite earlier threats to challenge the election outcome, President Bolsonaro and his supporters appear [...]

Climate Change: An Investor Tool Box

14 June 2020 The Covid pandemic, understandably, has replaced the climate debate in the headlines. However, the impact of rising global temperatures will be the most important macro-issue facing investors in coming decades. Reflecting the topic's importance, ESG investing (emphasising environmental, social, and governance factors) has expanded significantly in recent years. Sadly, the ESG sector [...]

India: Long Growth Runway Still Lies Ahead

6 March 2019 Following the BJP's dramatic 2014 electoral victory, Prime Minister Narendra Modi enjoyed a mandate to implement economic reform. From the beginning, however,  the program faced criticism. On the one hand, Hindu nationalist believe the changes do not go far enough in promoting their interests, whereas non-Hindus charge the  benefits have not been [...]

South Africa: Dawn of a New Era?

27 May 2018 Financial markets have celebrated the selection of Cyril Ramaphosa as leader of the ANC in December 2017, and his subsequent election as the Republic's president.  The beleaguered Rand (ZAR), for example, has rallied over 20% in the past four months.  Even the rating agencies have jumped on the band wagon.  Both Fitch [...]