No Deal Brexit: Project Fear or Simple Facts?

16 December 2018 Following the Brexit debate often reminds me of cartoon characters who, prior to proceeding to their destination, frantically spin their wheels without actually moving. Such has been the case for much of 2018. After the Parliamentary drama of the past few weeks, however, issues have become clearer and options have narrowed. In [...]

China: Slowdown Just Beginning

25 October 2018 We all know China's economy is slowing. Indeed, markets and pundits agonise when GDP results fractionally dip below expectations, as highlighted by the spike in market volatility following the recent news  Chinese output advanced "only" 6.5% during Q2 2018 (compared to the 6.6% forecast). To be sure, such results seem disappointing, as [...]

Eurpean PMI Confirms Economies Pick Up Steam

The March PMI release confirms that the European economy has accelerated since last summer.  Stronger growth, low inflatio, and continued monetary accomodation supports the case that European equities will outperform the USA. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/manufacturing-pmi