Emerging Markets: Bracing for More Bad News?

17 April 2020 We have all seen the evidence that investors have deserted Emerging Markets in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. Indeed, the following Chart illustrates the liquidation of EM assets has been considerably larger than in past episodes, including the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). As a result, the following Chart illustrates that EM [...]

Global Strategy Podcast: 2020 Vision

For enthusiasts of multi-media platforms, please enjoy this podcast on Global Strategy: 2020 Vision. I encourage you to read the blog of the same name found on my website. Also, look at individual reports on several of the key issues outlined on the podcast. These can be found by clicking the Archive or Regional tabs [...]

Global Strategy: 2020 Vision

11 November 2019 Easy monetary conditions have fueled the global equity index to an all-time high. Looking forward, key market risks centre on the likelihood of a 2020 global recession, the possibilty of a trade deal between the United States and China, and political risks, especially as US and UK voters go to the polls. [...]

Kick the Tires: Forecast Update

17 April 2019 In our 2019 Global Strategy blog entitled "Turning (Even More) Defensive" (published in September 2018), we outlined the broad macro themes we expected to drive financial markets. Given the sharp market swings that have occurred since last Autumn, I thought it would be worthwhile to review these themes in light of subsequent [...]