2019 Strategy: Turning (Even More) Defensive!

4 December 2018 Enjoy my 2019 Strategy Podcast.  The broadcast complements and updates my September blog entitled "2019 Strategy: Turning (Even More) Defensive!" Also look at previous blogs on various country assessments and policy issues -- all found in the Archive of Recent Blogs.

EM Investing: Harder than it Used to Be!

1 March 2018 Emerging Market investing is a lot more complicated than it used to be -- and not just because it is difficult to replicate last year's stellar performance.  Prior to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), EM's superior growth prospects garnered investors' attention.  In addition, EM growth and inflation cycles tended to be in [...]

2018 Strategy in Pictures: Aging Rally or More to Play For?

15 December 2017 Looking into 2018, one is is reminded of the old stock market admonition that "bulls make money and bears make money, but pigs are slaughtered".  In other words, let's not be greedy: the returns of the past year are highly unlikely to be repeated.  In an effort  to free up your time [...]

Do Markets Believe Central Banks?

22 October 2017 Investors appear convinced that stimulative G-7 monetary policies lie behind the markets’ record-setting performance.  To be sure, that was the case between 2009 and 2015.  During the past three years, however, I believe the impact of monetary policy has been quite neutral, the key driver of markets more recently has shifted from [...]