Heading for Global Recession in 2019?

10 January 2019 Happy New Year!  I am back at work for the first time since releasing my blog in mid-December. Did I miss anything??!! In a word, it's been crazy! In September, we published our 2019 Global Strategy Outlook entitled "Turning (Even More) Defensive", in which we warned that the year ahead would be [...]

2019 Strategy: Turning (Even More) Defensive!

4 December 2018 Enjoy my 2019 Strategy Podcast.  The broadcast complements and updates my September blog entitled "2019 Strategy: Turning (Even More) Defensive!" Also look at previous blogs on various country assessments and policy issues -- all found in the Archive of Recent Blogs.

Europe: Slipping Towards Recession?

25 November 2018 The European economy surged between mid-2016 and the end of last year -- expanding at an impressive 3% annual clip during this interval. This year has been quite a different story, as growth has consistently disappointed: indeed, GDP advanced a meagre 0.8% (annual rate) during the third quarter of 2018. There are [...]

Auf Wiedersehen Mon Ami(e)!

12 November 2018 Last weekend's gathering of world leaders to commemorate the centenary of the World War I armistice was also an occasion to celebrate 70 years of European peace and stability.  It was also appropriate to recognise the European Union's contribution to this extended period of prosperity. However, there existed also a sense of [...]