Bond Yields Rising: Don’t Be Confused

Remarkably, even though the US Federal Reserve has lowered the Fed funds rate by 100bp since last September, US bond yields have risen sharply (roughly 100bp). Market commentators have offered a wide range of explanations for this unusual development. As the incoming Administration has signalled a significant shift in economic strategy, investors will need to [...]

European Markets: Intact or In Tatters?

12 May 2022 In my 2022 Strategy blog entitled "Avoiding Stagflation?" (published 1 December 2021), I suggested global financial market volatility was poised to rise, and equity and bond returns would be negative. On a relative basis, however, I made the case for an outperformance of European markets. Much has happened during the past six [...]

Covid Strategy: Mind the Gap!

10 May 2020 Every day one hears the grim news regarding the global economic outlook. Nevertheless, financial markets continue to rebound relentlessly. What's up? The markets are working through various phases in coming to grips with the Covid-19 emergency. In the first phase, investors panicked as the Coronavirus spread world-wide, lockdowns were intensified, and fears [...]

Global Strategy Podcast: 2020 Vision

For enthusiasts of multi-media platforms, please enjoy this podcast on Global Strategy: 2020 Vision. I encourage you to read the blog of the same name found on my website. Also, look at individual reports on several of the key issues outlined on the podcast. These can be found by clicking the Archive or Regional tabs [...]