Strategy 2022: Avoiding Stagflation?

1 December 2021 As investors establish their 2022 market strategy, I summarise my answers to many key questions: Will the current rise in inflation be temporary or are rapidly rising prices here to stay? In the USA, for example, I expect price growth to peak in the first quarter of 2022, and "core" inflation to [...]

EM Inflation: Is the Scare Temporary?

25 June 2021 Despite US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's attempts to reassure investors, financial markets are concerned about inflation. Likewise, price growth has accelerated in key emerging market countries. In response, central banks in Brazil, Russia, Mexico, and Turkey have already begun to tighten monetary conditions. Is Emerging Market inflation temporary? That is, does it [...]

Asia: Global Growth Engine in 2021

1 December 2020 As the holiday season approaches, much of the world is battling a Second Wave of the Coronavirus. To be sure, world leaders are confronting unprecendented challenges, and tough decisions are required. Throughout the pandemic, many policymakers, as well as members of the media and general public, portray the options as a choice [...]

Strategy 2021: V(accine)-Shaped Recovery?

13 November 2020 Three cheers for the world's scientific community! The recent announcement that an effective vaccine may be on the way is a very welcomed, early Christmas present at the end of a tough year. Of course, there are numerous medical questions and logistical challenges that still must be solved. But, along with everyone [...]