Trump’s Economy: The Best Ever!?

10 September 2020 With Labour Day celebrations marking the unofficial end of summer, the US electoral race now will enter its final (and likely most brutal) phase. We do not need President Clinton's 1992 campaign strategist James Carville, who famously coined the phrase "it's the economy, stupid", to remind us of the role the economy [...]

Climate Change: An Investor Tool Box

14 June 2020 The Covid pandemic, understandably, has replaced the climate debate in the headlines. However, the impact of rising global temperatures will be the most important macro-issue facing investors in coming decades. Reflecting the topic's importance, ESG investing (emphasising environmental, social, and governance factors) has expanded significantly in recent years. Sadly, the ESG sector [...]

Emerging Markets: Bracing for More Bad News?

17 April 2020 We have all seen the evidence that investors have deserted Emerging Markets in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. Indeed, the following Chart illustrates the liquidation of EM assets has been considerably larger than in past episodes, including the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). As a result, the following Chart illustrates that EM [...]

Global Fiscal Policy: Whatever It Takes

25 March 2020 In recent weeks, policymakers world-wide have repeatedly pledged "to do whatever it takes" to offset the economic damage wreaked by the Covid-19 outbreak. In general, the aim has been to provide needed medical resources, allocate compensation for sick leave, provide direct payments to workers losing their jobs, and to give support to [...]