28 January 2024 At last year's BRICS Summit in South Africa, national leaders were all smiles; ushering in what they believe will be a more influential era for the Global South. Emerging market investors, on the other hand, have had little to celebrate, as EM markets have dramatically underperformed during the past 15 years -- [...]
13 December 2023 Happy Holidays! Another challenging year is coming to a close. Yes, the US (and global) economy defied expectations of recession. True, the S&P 500 has recorded a 20% gain. However, the rally was narrow: only technology outperformed the market. Indeed, of the 8 market sub-sectors, only tech, industrials, and financials posted positive [...]
31 August 2023 In a recent blog, I outlined the risk of near-term liquidity problems in certain African nations. And, while I suggested a region-wide debt crisis can be averted, it's important to put the issue in a broader context. In particular, as a result of the rise in regional debt levels (both domestic and [...]
28 May 2023 The IMF's recently released global forecast highlights that Asia will be the only region to experience stronger economic growth this year relative to 2022. Likewise, the Asian economy will outperform all other regions both this year and in 2024 (Chart above). Indeed, the following Chart indicates that Asia will account for over [...]