Q2 Global Strategy: Iran, Korea, China & Russia Hold the Key

4 April 2018 Enjoy the podcast in which I review how well our 2018 strategic themes are playing out, and take a look athe the rest of the year. Inflation, populism, and protectionism were the key Q1 market drivers, even as the US tax reform boosted American corporate earnings significantly. Personnel changes at the White [...]

Can Trump Pry Open Asian Markets?

President Trump will use his Asia trip to discuss America's swollen trade deficits with the region. Trade imbalances are caused by macro factors: America saves too little, Asia saves too much.  This Chart, however, does indicate that America's penetration of some key Asian markets is far lower than their access to the US market. China [...]

Asia: Coping With Trump, China, and the Fed

2 November 2017 Despite the flare up of dangerous geopolitical risks, Asian assets have performed exceptionally well in 2017.  Indeed, after years of underperformance, the 28% gain in Asian equity markets is twice that of the S&P500.  Likewise, shrugging off initial concerns after last year’s US election, most of the region’s currencies have appreciated handsomely [...]

Rocky Mountan Institute: China Tackles Pollution

Rocky Mountain Institute ReinventingFireChina_2016 There are few more important issues facing the planet and global economy than tackling China's environmental issues.  The Rocky Mountain Institute analyses the future pattern of China energy consumption and production, and the implications of these trends.