Global Money: Will Boom Go Bust?

7 March 2021 We have all marvelled at the dramatic expansion of the US Federal Reserve's balance sheet following both the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the Covid pandemic. And, the Chart illustrates quantitative easing (QE) policies have had a similar impact on the asset holdings of central banks worldwide (thanks to Yardeni Research for [...]

Covid-19: Central Banks Fail to Bring Comfort

16 March 2020 Global central banks have announced additional emergency stimulus measures. In particular, the US Federal Reserve reduced its policy rate by 100 basis point, which now stands near zero. In addition, the Fed will resume aggressively its quantitative easing program. During the Global Financial Crisis global markets were reassured by such assertive policy [...]

Avoiding the Potholes Ahead

12 July 2019 Global equity markets are at (or approaching) all-time highs. What's not to like? In particular, the US market has been buoyed by the Sino-US trade truce achieved at the Tokyo G20 meeting, the prospect of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and solid employment gains. Indeed, our year-end 2019 S&P 500 target of [...]