19 September 2018 As analysts return from summer holidays, they tend to extend their earnings forecasts into the next year. In this spirit, I am casting my strategic gaze into 2019 as well. In order to set the stage, a brief review of our 2018 strategic themes may be helpful. In our December essay "Aging [...]
9 July 2019 Has the impetus behind European reform, so evident following French President Macron's victory last year, now stalled? The recent Italian election result illustrates that the appeal of populist remedies to Europe's ills has not receded, and Euro-scepticism remains widespread. The challenge remains for Europe's mainstream national leaders, along with the EU institutions [...]
6 June 2018 As a reminder that populist sentiment in Europe has not disappeared, Italy's March election has finally produced an anti-establishment coalition between the Lega and the Five Star Movement (M5S), which appears willing to at least consider leaving the European Union as a remedy for the nation's economic ills. On one level this [...]
IGC_EU Migration Former UK Prime Minister's cogent advice will not have much political impact it desrves, as it comes far too late. Nevertheless, this valuable report from the Institute for Global Change provides lots of welcome facts on this important subject. This is especially important during an era of "alterjnative facts"!