Emerging Markets: Has the Time Come?

28 January 2024 At last year's BRICS Summit in South Africa, national leaders were all smiles; ushering in what they believe will be a more influential era for the Global South. Emerging market investors, on the other hand, have had little to celebrate, as EM markets have dramatically underperformed during the past 15 years -- [...]

Latin America: Building on Climate Advantages

14 May 2021 Latin America accounts annually for only 5% of global carbon dioxide emissions. And, Mexico and Brazil alone are responsible for over 50% of the region's pollution. Moreover, while Latam's GHGs have risen 25% since 2005, emissions in many key countries have been declining since 2014. Likewise, CO2 per capita levels are comparatively [...]

Turkey: Systemic Risk or Just One Bad Apple?

26 March 2021 President Erdogan's decision to sack Turkey's central bank governor Naci Agbal last week following the CBRT's decision to raise interest rates 200bp has increased volatility in EM currency markets. Is this just the latest episode of Turkish political intrigue? Alternatively, given both Brazil and Russia also lifted key rates, has a more [...]

Covid in Latin America: Another Lost Decade?

5 November 2020 Saddled with high debt, Latin America's real per capita GDP stagnated between 1980 and 1995, despite a healthy global economic environment. A lost decade (Chart above). The region has suffered greatly during the ongoing Coronavirus crisis, and the economic consequences have been enormous. Despite having only 8% of the world's population, the [...]