28 February 2021 There's a whiff of inflation in the air: commodities are soaring, bond yields are rising, and yield curves are steepening. And, while these trends actually began last Summer (and despite Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's reassuring comments in Congress), equity market volatility is increasing. In the period ahead, financial markets will confront several [...]
Category: Strategy
Strategy 2021: V(accine)-Shaped Recovery?
13 November 2020 Three cheers for the world's scientific community! The recent announcement that an effective vaccine may be on the way is a very welcomed, early Christmas present at the end of a tough year. Of course, there are numerous medical questions and logistical challenges that still must be solved. But, along with everyone [...]
Covid Strategy: Mind the Gap!
10 May 2020 Every day one hears the grim news regarding the global economic outlook. Nevertheless, financial markets continue to rebound relentlessly. What's up? The markets are working through various phases in coming to grips with the Covid-19 emergency. In the first phase, investors panicked as the Coronavirus spread world-wide, lockdowns were intensified, and fears [...]
Emerging Markets: Bracing for More Bad News?
17 April 2020 We have all seen the evidence that investors have deserted Emerging Markets in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. Indeed, the following Chart illustrates the liquidation of EM assets has been considerably larger than in past episodes, including the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). As a result, the following Chart illustrates that EM [...]