Russia: Oil Production

  http://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-energy-production-idUSKBN1691XP Discipline in the non-OPEC producers like Russia is needed to stabilise ioil prices.  Technological adances in the US shale oil sector seem likely to keep the  oil price in the $45 to $65 range.  

China: Currency Manipulator?

4 April 2017 When Chinese President Xi Jinping visits Florida, trade will be at the top of the agenda. The meeting occurs at a pivotal moment when President Trump’s “America first” agenda has put China in the unusual position of being the champion of liberal global trade.  Indeed, America’s withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership provides [...]

Bank of England: Navigating the Brexit Swamp

23 March 2017 At long last, after a long campaign, referendum vote, and legal challenges, the Brexit negotiations can officially begin.  Of the many important issues confronting the markets will be how the Bank of England navigates monetary policy through these uncertain times.  This is especially true as the last CPI release saw inflation breaching [...]

Trump & G20: Collision Course

23 March 2017 Two developments occurring over the weekend have the potential to put the United States on a collision course with its trading partners.  In order to win US approval, the communique released following the G20 meeting in Baden-Baden softened its previous commitment to countering “all forms of protectionism” – a pledge widely regarded [...]