US Small Cap stocks have underperformed since February as doubts about the Trump agenda have grown. However, smaller firms will benefit most from US tax reforms as there tax rates are higher than average. Also, small caps are more domestically oriented, and will benefit from the stronger US dollar I expect during the next six [...]
European Politics: Berlin, Florence & Brexit
26 September 2017 Despite Europe’s recent economic upswing, Germany’s election result provides a stark reminder of the region’s political discontent in the aftermath of the Euro crisis, protracted unemployment, and increasing income inequality. Following the disappointing elections, can Chancellor Merkel and French President Macron produce the domestic and EU reforms needed to produce European prosperity? [...]
The Productivity Debate: PIIE Upbeat Assessment
Peterson IIE US Productivity A fine upbeat assessment of the literature on this important topic,
NAFTA Renegotiations
Peterson IIE NAFTA When you want to know about NAFTA, there is no better place to look than the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Here's a great, recent assessment.